The Models
NFL
Spreads & totals from a walk-forward-backtested model. Season projections are live now; the daily board, prop leans and the driver case go live when the season kicks off in September.
Season projection · Monte Carlo
Player props · your number vs your book
In season
Picks that pass the Pick Standard, player prop leans (pass / rush / rec yards, TDs, receptions) with the same evidence and public grading as MLB, and the market-→-model driver case — all land here week one.